"While forecasters know more than we did 24 hours ago, we don’t know enough yet to confidently project who will get the worst of Ian and how bad it will be." "Overall, the shift south on Saturday morning tilts the odds more towards a westward track, but we are still in the timeframe in which more forecast surprises could happen," said Truchelut. Tropical Storm Ian: Find all of our latest coverage of the storm
Subscribe Now: Support the Herald-Tribune with a digital subscription Scenario 4: North Florida and slower (30% chance).Scenario 3: North of Tampa and faster (35% chance).Scenario 2: Southwest Florida (30% chance).Scenario 1: Keys and South Florida (5% chance).He has taken into account the latest information about the storm and has created four possible outcomes for where Ian will land: If you want to see a deep meteorological breakdown of Tropical Storm Ian, check out the latest column by Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist at WeatherTiger. | What are the chances Sarasota-Manatee will be hit by the potential Hurricane Ian? Manatee County’s Emergency Operations Center will continue to add staff and resources in preparation for a higher-level activation as the storm progresses.Ģ:25 p.m. No Manatee County shelters have been opened, but any residents with special needs are encouraged to register with the county, to help meet the special needs of those who need assistance during evacuations and sheltering due to physical and mental disabilities. But it is time to finalize your storm preparations.” “Our crews are getting ready to help support our residents and visitors through this storm’s impact,” said County Administrator Scott Hopes. | Manatee County declares a state of emergency in advance of possible Hurricane Ianĭuring an emergency Board of County Commissioners meeting this afternoon, Manatee County declared a local state of emergency in advance of Tropical Storm Ian. Location: About 230 miles S of Kingston Jamaica (14.3 N, 77W)Ģ:30 p.m. National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Ian 8 p.m. update:
"The latest NHC track forecast is once again adjusted westward, and further adjustments may be needed given the increased uncertainty in the day 3-5 period.," said the NHC in the latest advisory. Hurricane Shelters: Where are Sarasota-Manatee hurricane shelters? When should I go?
#PROJECTED HURRICANE TRACK DOWNLOAD#
Stay up to date on the storm: Download the updated Herald-Tribune app The NHC notes significant spread among the various storm prediction models, ranging from landfall in the north-central Gulf of Mexico to the west coast of Florida. The storm's path continues to aim toward northern Florida's Big Bend area, a significant shift west that leaves Sarasota and Manatee counties in the cone of uncertainty, but outside the projected path.
#PROJECTED HURRICANE TRACK UPDATE#
update shows little change to Tropical Storm Ian. | Very little change in Tropical Storm Ian as it aims for Florida's Big Bend area
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